NEW ANALYSIS: Households Will Pay Thousands More for Electricity Over the Next Decade without New Clean Power Sources in PJM
Jan 21 2026
- Without new cleanÌýenergyÌýdevelopment, ACP estimates that ratepayers across nine PJM states would pay anÌýadditionalÌý$360 billionÌýover the next ten years.ÌýÌý
- The average residential householdÌýwould seeÌý$3,000 to $8,500ÌýinÌýadditionalÌýelectricity costs over the next decade.Ìý

WASHINGTON, D.C., January 21, 2026 — Electricity demand across the PJM Interconnection region is growing at an unprecedented pace, driven by rapid expansion of data centers, advanced manufacturing, electrification, and broader economic growth. AÌýnew analysisÌýby the Âé¶¹´«Ã½ Association (ACP) finds that withoutÌýtimelyÌýdeployment ofÌýsignificantÌýnew clean energy resources, Mid-Atlantic and Midwest states face serious reliability risks and dramatically higher electricity costs over the next decade.Ìý
ThereÌýisÌýaÌýgrowing mismatch between demand growth and new conventional generationÌýthatÌýpresents an immediate challenge to grid reliability and affordability across the PJM region.ÌýThe cost impacts areÌýsubstantial. Without new clean energy development, ACP estimates that ratepayers across nine PJM states would pay anÌýadditionalÌý$360 billionÌýover the next ten years, driven primarily by higher wholesale electricity prices. The average residential household would seeÌý$3,000 to $8,500ÌýinÌýadditionalÌýelectricity costs over theÌýnextÌýdecade.ÌýÌý
The issue of energy affordabilityÌýin the Mid-AtlanticÌýhas now movedÌýsquarelyÌýinto the political spotlight.ÌýJust last week,Ìýboth theÌýÌýandÌýbipartisan group of state governorsÌýcalled onÌýPJMÌýtoÌýtake steps to address thisÌýissue.Ìý
“To keep the lights on and power economic growth, PJM needs resources that can be built quickly, operate reliably, and protect customersÌýfromÌýsurprisesÌýon their electric bills,â€� saidÌýJohn Hensley, Senior Vice President of Markets and Policy Analysis at ACP. “Our analysis shows that clean energy sources and storage are uniquely positioned to meet near-term demand growth while lowering costs and strengthening reliability for consumers.â€�Ìý
To evaluate system-wide impacts, ACP modeled PJM under two scenarios: aÌýbaseÌýcase, where all generation resources are available, and aÌýnoÌýnewÌýcleanÌýpowerÌýcase, where noÌýnewÌýwind, solar, or storage projects are added beyond those already under construction or required by law. The results show stark differences.Ìý
In theÌý“no new cleanÌýpower case,â€�ÌýPJM becomes increasingly reliant on aging, higher-cost fossil fuel generation and imported electricity. Net power imports riseÌýnearly 300%Ìýby 2035, increasing exposure to fuel price volatility andÌýoperatingÌýhours with extremely high electricity prices. The analysis also finds elevated reliability risks during peak demand periods, when the system is most vulnerable.Ìý
Clean energy resources—including windÌýandÌýsolar—can be deployed more quickly andÌýoperateÌýat lower long-term cost.ÌýOn average, new electricity loads can be constructedÌýwithin one to two years, while new natural gas power plants typicallyÌýrequireÌýfive to seven years toÌýpermitÌýand build—and are currently constrained by limited turbine supply.ÌýClean energyÌýresources canÌýhelp meet rising demand, support resource adequacy, and stabilize wholesale electricity prices during a critical period of load growth.Ìý
“These findings make clear that delaying clean energy deployment comes at a steep cost,â€� Hensley added. “Timely investment in wind, solar, and energy storage is essential to maintaining reliability, reducing dependence on imports, and protecting families and businesses from sharply higher electricity bills as demand continues to grow.â€�Ìý